entang
perang Suriah yang dirancang oleh Zionis/Amerika dan Arab-arab antek
mereka khususnya Saudi, Qatar, dan Turki Mantan Konsul Jenderal Israel
di New York menunjukkan kegembiraannya:
“Dalam permainan playoff anda perlu kedua tim kalah, dan anda tidak ingin salah satunya menang, kami puas dengan ini” kata Alon Pinkas mantan Konsul Jenderal Israel di New York. “Biarkan mereka berdarah-darah (saling bunuh) sampai mati, itu pemikiran strategis disini, selama ini berlangsung (saling bunuh di Suriah) maka tidak ada ancaman nyata (bagi Israel) dari Suriah.
Israel Backs Limited Strike Against Syria
By: JODI RUDOREN
President Obama’s position on
Syria — punish President Bashar al-Assad for using chemical weapons
without seeking to force him from power — has been called
“half-pregnant” by critics at home and abroad who prefer a more decisive
American intervention to end Syria’s civil war.
But Mr. Obama’s limited strike proposal has one crucial foreign ally: Israel.
Israeli officials have consistently made
the case that enforcing Mr. Obama’s narrow “red line” on Syria is
essential to halting the nuclear ambitions of Israel’s archenemy, Iran.
More quietly, Israelis have increasingly argued that the best outcome
for Syria’s two-and-a-half-year-old civil war, at least for the moment,
is no outcome.
For Jerusalem, the status quo, horrific
as it may be from a humanitarian perspective, seems preferable to either
a victory by Mr. Assad’s government and his Iranian backers or a
strengthening of rebel groups, increasingly dominated by Sunni jihadis.
“This is a playoff situation in which you need both teams to lose, but at least you don’t want one to win — we’ll settle for a tie,” said Alon Pinkas, a former Israeli consul general in New York. “Let them both bleed, hemorrhage to death: that’s the strategic thinking here. As long as this lingers, there’s no real threat from Syria.”
The synergy between the Israeli and
American positions, while not explicitly articulated by the leaders of
either country, could be a critical source of support as Mr. Obama seeks
Congressional approval for surgical strikes in Syria. Some Republicans
have pushed him to intervene more assertively to tip the balance in the
Syrian conflict, while other politicians from both parties are loath to
involve the United States in another Middle Eastern conflict on any
terms.
But Israel’s national security concerns have broad, bipartisan support in Washington, and the American Israel Public Affairs Committee,
the influential pro-Israel lobby in Washington, weighed in Tuesday in
support of Mr. Obama’s approach. The group’s statement said nothing,
however, about the preferred outcome of the civil war, instead saying
that America must “send a forceful
message” to Iran and Hezbollah and “take a firm stand that the world’s
most dangerous regimes cannot obtain and use the most dangerous weapons.”
After years of upheaval in the Middle
East and tension between Mr. Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
of Israel, the two leaders are now largely in sync on how to handle not
just Syria, but also Egypt. Mr. Obama has not withheld American aid to
Egypt after the military-backed ouster of the elected Islamist
government, while Israel strongly backs the Egyptian military as a
source of stability.
On Syria, in fact, Israel pioneered the kind of limited strike Mr. Obama is now proposing: four times this year, it has bombed convoys of advanced weapons it suspected were being transferred to Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shiite militia that Israel considers a major threat.
It has otherwise been content to watch
the current stalemate in Syria pull in what it considers a range of
enemies: not only the Syrian Army and Iran, but also Hezbollah, which
has thousands of fighters engaged on the battlefronts in Syria, and
Sunni Islamists aligned against them.
Though Syria and Israel have technically been at war for more than 40 years,
the conflict in Syria is now viewed mainly through the prism of Iran. A
prolonged conflict is perceived as hurting Iran, which finances Mr.
Assad’s war effort. Whether Mr. Obama follows through on his promise to
retaliate for the use of chemical weapons is a test of his commitment,
ultimately, to prevent an Iranian nuclear bomb — as long as the
retaliation does not become a full-scale intervention in Syria.
“If it’s Iran-first policy, then any diversion to Syria is not fruitful,” said Aluf Benn, editor of the Israeli newspaper Haaretz. “From
the Israeli point of view, the worst scenario is mission-creep in Syria
and America gets entangled in a third war in the Middle East, which
paralyzes its ability to strike Iran and limits Israel’s ability to
strike Iran as well.”
This spring, when an Israeli official
called for an international response to what he said were earlier Syrian
chemical attacks, he was muzzled and reprimanded for appearing to
pressure the White House. Now, said Eyal Zisser,
a historian at Tel Aviv University who specializes in the region, “it’s
clear that Israel does not want to appear as somebody that is pushing
the United States for a deep involvement.”
There are significant differences between Israel and the United States on Syria. There was widespread criticism here of Mr. Obama’s decision to delay responding to the chemical attack, with the quote “When you have to shoot, shoot, don’t talk” from “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly” becoming a common refrain. One Israeli dentist even took out a large newspaper ad promoting his implant services with a picture of Mr. Obama captioned, “He doesn’t have teeth?”
There has also been a broader debate about how best to respond to the war in Syria.
When the uprising began, many here saw
Mr. Assad, who like his predecessor and father had maintained quiet on
the border, as “the devil you know,” and therefore preferable to the
rebels, some of whom were aligned with Al Qaeda or Sunni militants like
the Palestinian Hamas faction.
As the death toll has mounted, more Israelis joined a camp led by Amos Yadlin,
a former head of Israeli military intelligence, who argues that the
devil you know is, actually, a devil who should be ousted sooner rather
than later.
That split remains. But as hopes have
dimmed for the emergence of a moderate, secular rebel force that might
forge democratic change and even constructive dialogue with Israel, a
third approach has gained traction: Let the bad guys burn themselves
out.
“The perpetuation of the conflict is absolutely serving Israel’s interest,” said Nathan Thrall, a Jerusalem-based analyst for the International Crisis Group (lihat website: crisisgroup) .
Tamara Cofman Wittes, director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy
(lihat website: .brookings) at the Brookings Institution, was one of several experts who said this
view differs from the callous “let them all kill each other” shrug
popular here during the long-running Iran-Iraq war. Rather, Ms. Wittes
said, the reasoning behind a strike that would not significantly change
the Syrian landscape is that the West needs more time to prop up
opposition forces it finds more palatable and prepare them for future
governing.
She cited dangers for Israel if the
conflict continues to drag on, including more efforts to transfer
advanced weapons to Hezbollah, instability in Lebanon and pressure on
Jordan.
Despite those threats, Matthew Levitt, who studies the region at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (lihat website: washingtoninstitute), said Jerusalem and Washington essentially agree that “right now, there’s no good way for this war to end.”
Israeli leaders “want
Assad to be punished; they’d like it to be punishing enough that it
actually makes a difference in the war but not so much that it
completely takes him out,” Mr. Levitt said.
“The Israelis do not think the status quo is tenable either, but they
think the status quo right now is better than the war ending tomorrow,
because the war ending tomorrow could be much worse. There’s got to be a
tomorrow, day-after plan.”
This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:
Correction: September 7, 2013
An article on Friday about Israel’s
support for President Obama’s proposal for a limited strike against
Syria misstated the former position of Amos Yadlin, who argues that the
Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, should be ousted sooner rather than
later. He was the head of Israeli military intelligence, not the
director of the Mossad intelligence agency.
(nytimes/myartikel/ABNS)
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